Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FORTH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 2.253571 2.385424 2.528854 2.698059 2.894407 3.117983 3.396311
2025-08-31 2.117475 2.281007 2.466355 2.695854 2.978376 3.323864 3.794778
2025-09-07 2.033455 2.216919 2.430904 2.705374 3.058926 3.517279 4.194672
2025-09-14 1.903171 2.085400 2.300560 2.580835 2.949348 3.440451 4.196279
2025-09-21 1.869274 2.065106 2.300999 2.616312 3.045747 3.646834 4.645399
2025-09-28 1.797086 1.993054 2.231373 2.553948 3.001049 3.642946 4.754848
2025-10-05 1.792048 2.002704 2.263796 2.626299 3.147436 3.937842 5.445962
2025-10-12 1.795587 2.022295 2.308818 2.717451 3.328875 4.317075 6.452321
2025-10-19 1.755869 1.984363 2.275668 2.696221 3.337364 4.406323 6.875328
2025-10-26 1.728415 1.960887 2.260196 2.698387 3.381166 4.563040 7.539415
2025-11-02 1.693717 1.926519 2.228252 2.674238 3.379810 4.634455 8.012333
2025-11-09 1.649741 1.878570 2.175999 2.617430 3.320421 4.585424 8.098164
2025-11-16 1.612640 1.841588 2.141377 2.591123 3.319989 4.674434 8.783966
2025-11-23 1.587842 1.819715 2.126137 2.592112 3.364429 4.862378 10.043499
2025-11-30 1.568386 1.804004 2.118362 2.603271 3.426604 5.102024 11.971398
2025-12-07 1.510185 1.734579 2.032845 2.490360 3.259793 4.795665 10.657260
2025-12-14 1.502099 1.732451 2.041974 2.524588 3.359387 5.124759 13.623130
2025-12-21 1.466179 1.691580 1.994713 2.467987 3.288515 5.032161 13.614717
2025-12-28 1.470242 1.705104 2.025323 2.535937 3.455034 5.576244 22.517583
2026-01-04 1.478502 1.724472 2.064961 2.620998 3.666911 6.350452 153.005536
2026-01-11 1.457246 1.702189 2.042599 2.602026 3.666977 6.484526 NaN
2026-01-18 1.442850 1.689098 2.033359 2.604542 3.712009 6.788892 NaN
2026-01-25 1.422595 1.667288 2.010430 2.582599 3.702802 6.899659 NaN